Zalaegerszegi vs Puskas A. Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Hungary - NB I Regular Season - 32 ZTE Aréna· Zalaegerszeg Friday, May 1, 2026 18:00

Zalaegerszegi PPG 1.75

1-3 MISS

Puskas A. PPG 1.50

Home· +2.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Zalaegerszegi face Puskas A. in Hungary - NB I on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zalaegerszegi a 45% chance, the draw 29% and Puskas A. 26%, so Zalaegerszegi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Zalaegerszegi and 1.1 for Puskas A. (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zalaegerszegi are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.50 for Puskas A.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +2.4%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.9%

Odds: 2.28 EV: +2.4%

Draw 29.3%

Odds: 3.15 EV: -7.7%

Away 25.9%

Odds: 2.98 EV: -22.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.7% Odds: 1.95 -5.0%

Over 3.5 26.9% Odds: 3.35 -9.9%

BTTS 54.1% Odds: 1.70 -8.0%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Zalaegerszegi

1.52

Puskas A.

1.11

Model SuggestionBTTS -8.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+2.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 65%

BTTS/No 65%

Score Hit 48%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.50)