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Kremser vs Donaufeld Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 29 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 17:30

Kremser

PPG 1.92 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Donaufeld

PPG 1.46 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.92) > Away AVERAGE (1.46)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-16.8%0-23.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.8%1-111.4%1-26.6%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.3%2-19.6%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.7%3-15.4%3-23.1%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-13.3%4+-21.9%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% — — —

Draw 27.5% — — —

Away win 24.5% — — —

Over 2.5 54.0% — — —

Over 3.5 31.7% — — —

BTTS 57.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob57.5%

H 48% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 8.3%

#4 1–0 9.8%

#5 0–0✓ 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kremser1.7

Donaufeld1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.0% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KREMSER · PPG 1.92

DONAUFELD · PPG 1.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.92) > Away AVERAGE (1.46)

Win probability 1X2

Kremser (H) 48.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Donaufeld (A) 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kremser face Donaufeld in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kremser a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Donaufeld 25%, so Kremser are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Kremser and 1.2 for Donaufeld (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kremser are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.46 for Donaufeld. This match finished 0-0.

Kremser vs Donaufeld Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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