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Favoritner AC vs Donau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 29 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 17:10

Favoritner AC

PPG 1.33 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Donau

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-19.3%0-27.2%0-33.7%0-4+2.1%1 1-07.6%1-111.7%1-29.1%1-34.7%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.8%2-17.4%2-25.7%2-33.0%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.0%3-13.1%3-22.4%3-31.2%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.3%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.2% — — —

Draw 28.4% — — —

Away win 42.4% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 31.1% — — —

BTTS 58.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob58.2%

A 42% / xG 1.3-1.6 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 0–0 6.0%

#4 0–1 9.3%

#5 2–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Favoritner AC1.3

Donau1.6

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 31.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FAVORITNER AC · PPG 1.33

DONAU · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Favoritner AC (H) 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Donau (A) 42.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Favoritner AC face Donau in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Favoritner AC a 29% chance, the draw 28% and Donau 42%, so Donau are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Favoritner AC and 1.6 for Donau (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Favoritner AC are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.38 for Donau. This match finished 5-1.

Favoritner AC vs Donau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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