Real Union PPG 2.00
Alfaro PPG 0.38Real Union face Alfaro in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Union a 66% chance, the draw 21% and Alfaro 13%, so Real Union are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Real Union and 0.9 for Alfaro (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Union are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.38 for Alfaro. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.6%. This match finished 2-0.
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.38) - Strong consensus