Ejea vs Eibar B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 33 Complejo Deportivo de Unbe Inferior· Eibar Sunday, April 26, 2026 10:00

Ejea PPG 1.38

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Eibar B PPG 1.25

Away· +40.1% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ejea face Eibar B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ejea a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Eibar B 30%, so Ejea are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ejea and 1.1 for Eibar B (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ejea are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.25 for Eibar B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +40.1%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.8%

Odds: 1.57 EV: -40.6%

Draw 32.7%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +17.7%

Away 29.5%

Odds: 4.75 EV: +40.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 1.80 -10.0%

Over 3.5 22.5% Odds: — —

BTTS 52.6% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Ejea

1.29

Eibar B

1.12

Model SuggestionBTTS  NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is — at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+40.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5/Under 53%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 63%

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.25)