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Ejea vs Eibar B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Group 2 - 33 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 10:00

Ejea

PPG 1.38 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Eibar B

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.9%0-110.0%0-25.6%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.5%1-113.0%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.5%2-18.4%2-24.7%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.2%3-13.6%3-22.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.6%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.8% 63.7% 1.57 -40.6%

Draw 32.7% 27.8% 3.60 +17.7%

Away win 29.5% 21.1% 4.75 +40.1%

Over 2.5 50.0% 55.6% 1.80 -10.0%

Over 3.5 22.5% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.6%

D 33% / xG 1.3-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.0%

#2 0–0 8.9%

#3 1–0 11.5%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 0–1 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ejea1.3

Eibar B1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.5%

Form & verdict PPG

EJEA · PPG 1.38

EIBAR B · PPG 1.25

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Ejea (H) 37.8%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -40.6%

Draw 32.7%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +17.7%

Eibar B (A) 29.5%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +40.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ejea face Eibar B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ejea a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Eibar B 30%, so Ejea are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ejea and 1.1 for Eibar B (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ejea are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.25 for Eibar B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +40.1%. This match finished 1-1.

Ejea vs Eibar B Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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