Alfaro vs SD Logrones Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

Alfaro face SD Logrones in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Alfaro a 45% chance, the draw 30% and SD Logrones 24%, so Alfaro are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Alfaro and 0.7 for SD Logrones (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Alfaro are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 0.75 for SD Logrones. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +135.6%. This match finished 0-1.