Basconia vs Gernika Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

Basconia face Gernika in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Basconia a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Gernika 21%, so Basconia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Basconia and 0.9 for Gernika (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Basconia are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.00 for Gernika. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +6.2%. This match finished 0-0.