Naxara vs Beasain Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 33 Estadio La Salera· Nájera Sunday, April 26, 2026 10:00

Naxara PPG 1.25

1-0 HIT CS2

Beasain PPG 0.94

Home· +6.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Naxara face Beasain in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Naxara a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Beasain 25%, so Naxara are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Naxara and 1.0 for Beasain (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Naxara are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.94 for Beasain. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.5%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.3%

Odds: 2.30 EV: +6.5%

Draw 28.3%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -12.3%

Away 25.4%

Odds: 2.80 EV: -28.9%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.5% Odds: 1.90 -4.0%

Over 3.5 26.9% Odds: — —

BTTS 55.4% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✔

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Naxara

1.62

Beasain

1.00

Model SuggestionBTTS  ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.94)