Utebo PPG 1.88
Ebro PPG 1.31Utebo face Ebro in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Utebo a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Ebro 25%, so Utebo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Utebo and 1.1 for Ebro (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Utebo are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.31 for Ebro. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +18.0%. This match finished 1-0.
Based on 19 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.31)