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Utebo vs Ebro Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 33 Sunday, April 26, 2026 10:00
Utebo logo Utebo PPG 1.88
1-0 HIT CS4
Ebro logo Ebro PPG 1.31
Over2.5· +18.0% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Utebo face Ebro in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Utebo a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Ebro 25%, so Utebo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Utebo and 1.1 for Ebro (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Utebo are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.31 for Ebro. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +18.0%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.5%
Odds: 2.20 EV: +2.3%
Draw 28.4%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -12.0%
Away 25.0%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -27.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 2.00 +18.0%
Over 3.5 35.5% Odds: —
BTTS 58.5% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Utebo
1.92
Ebro
1.09

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +18.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.

League Track Record

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 63%

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.31)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org