Amorebieta PPG 1.56
Sestao River PPG 1.25Amorebieta face Sestao River in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Amorebieta a 42% chance, the draw 32% and Sestao River 26%, so Amorebieta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Amorebieta and 0.7 for Sestao River (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Amorebieta are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.25 for Sestao River. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.5%. This match finished 1-1.
Based on 19 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)