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UD Logrones vs Mutilvera Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 33 Sunday, April 26, 2026 10:00
UD Logrones logo UD Logrones PPG 2.19
3-0 HIT CS2
Mutilvera logo Mutilvera PPG 0.88
Over3.5· +35.4% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

UD Logrones face Mutilvera in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives UD Logrones a 77% chance, the draw 16% and Mutilvera 7%, so UD Logrones are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.3 for UD Logrones and 0.6 for Mutilvera (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, UD Logrones are averaging 2.19 points per game versus 0.88 for Mutilvera. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +35.4%. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 77.3%
Odds: 1.10 EV: -15.0%
Draw 16.1%
Odds: 6.50 EV: +4.7%
Away 6.6%
Odds: 19.00 EV: +25.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 79.5% Odds: —
Over 3.5 73.2% Odds: 1.85 +35.4%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 4-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 5-0
4th 2-0
5th 4-1

Expected Goals (xG)

UD Logrones
4.35
Mutilvera
0.63

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 63%

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.19), Away POOR (0.88) - Strong consensus

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org