UD Logrones PPG 2.19
Mutilvera PPG 0.88UD Logrones face Mutilvera in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives UD Logrones a 77% chance, the draw 16% and Mutilvera 7%, so UD Logrones are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.3 for UD Logrones and 0.6 for Mutilvera (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, UD Logrones are averaging 2.19 points per game versus 0.88 for Mutilvera. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +35.4%. This match finished 3-0.
Based on 19 resolved predictions
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.19), Away POOR (0.88) - Strong consensus