Maritimo vs Leixoes Prediction & Tips

Portugal - Segunda Liga Regular Season - 32 Estádio do Marítimo· Funchal Friday, May 1, 2026 14:30

Maritimo PPG 1.87

3-2 MISS

Leixoes PPG 1.47

Draw· -4.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Home 50.4%

Odds: 1.88 EV: -5.3%

Draw 29.0%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -4.3%

Away 20.6%

Odds: 3.90 EV: -19.7%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 45.3% Odds: 1.95 -11.7%

Over 3.5 24.0% Odds: 3.40 -18.4%

BTTS 49.6% Odds: 1.77 -12.2%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Maritimo

1.56

Leixoes

0.93

Model SuggestionHome -5.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -5.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 45%

BTTS/No 38%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -45.7%

Bet Hit 30% (10 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.87) > Away AVERAGE (1.47)