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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Friday, May 1, 2026 14:15 
Celta Vigo B PPG 2.00 
Osasuna B PPG 0.88
Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Friday, May 1, 2026 14:15 Celta Vigo B PPG 2.000-1 MISS
Osasuna B PPG 0.88Draw· +8.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 41.4% Odds: 1.93 -20.1%
Over 3.5 20.9% Odds: 3.35 -30.0%
BTTS 45.9% Odds: 1.85 -15.1%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Celta Vigo B 1.50
Osasuna B 0.84
Model Suggestion
Home -15.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -15.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+8.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+8.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=51.0%