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Estonia - Meistriliiga logo Estonia flag Estonia - Meistriliiga Regular Season - 10 Paide linnastaadion· Paide Friday, May 1, 2026 14:00
Paide logo Paide PPG 2.25
0-1 MISS
Tammeka logo Tammeka PPG 0.80
Draw· -6.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.0%
Odds: 1.44 EV: -12.2%
Draw 23.3%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -6.8%
Away 15.7%
Odds: 5.50 EV: -13.7%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.2% Odds: —
Over 3.5 36.8% Odds: —
BTTS 56.4% Odds: 1.53 -13.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Paide
2.08
Tammeka
0.99

Model Suggestion

Home -12.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -12.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=61.0%

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