Ceramica C. vs Al Masry Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Egypt - Premier League Championship Group - 5 Borg El Arab Stadium· Alexandria Friday, May 1, 2026 14:00

Ceramica C. PPG 2.18

0-1 MISS

Al Masry PPG 1.25

Home· +10.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ceramica C. face Al Masry in Egypt - Premier League on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ceramica C. a 44% chance, the draw 31% and Al Masry 24%, so Ceramica C. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Ceramica C. and 1.0 for Al Masry (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ceramica C. are averaging 2.18 points per game versus 1.25 for Al Masry. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +10.8%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.3%

Odds: 2.50 EV: +10.8%

Draw 31.3%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -9.2%

Away 24.4%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -29.2%

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 40.9% Odds: 2.20 -10.0%

Over 3.5 20.4% Odds: 4.00 -18.4%

BTTS 47.7% Odds: 1.80 -14.1%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Ceramica C.

1.36

Al Masry

0.95

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 4.4%

Bet Hit 46% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.18) vs P(Home)=44.3%