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Eimsbutteler vs Dassendorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 21 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 13:00

Eimsbutteler

PPG 2.27 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Dassendorf

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-12.7%0-23.1%0-32.3%0-4+2.3%1 1-02.5%1-15.8%1-26.6%1-35.1%1-4+5.0%2 2-02.7%2-16.2%2-27.1%2-35.5%2-4+5.3%3 3-02.0%3-14.5%3-25.1%3-33.9%3-4+3.8%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-14.0%4+-24.6%4+-33.5%4+-4+3.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.9% — — —

Draw 21.3% — — —

Away win 41.8% — — —

Over 2.5 82.0% — — —

Over 3.5 64.9% — — —

BTTS 80.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob80.3%

A 42% / xG 2.2-2.3 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 80%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.1%

#2 1–1 5.8%

#3 1–2 6.6%

#4 2–1 6.2%

#5 2–3 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eimsbutteler2.2

Dassendorf2.3

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.0% · O3.5 PROB 64.9%

Form & verdict PPG

EIMSBUTTELER · PPG 2.27

DASSENDORF · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.27), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Eimsbutteler (H) 36.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dassendorf (A) 41.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eimsbutteler face Dassendorf in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eimsbutteler a 37% chance, the draw 21% and Dassendorf 42%, so Dassendorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Eimsbutteler and 2.3 for Dassendorf (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 80% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eimsbutteler are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 2.00 for Dassendorf. This match finished 0-1.

Eimsbutteler vs Dassendorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

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