Muang Thong Utd vs Pathum Utd Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Thailand - Thai League 1 Regular Season - 29 Thunderdome Stadium· Nonthaburi Friday, May 1, 2026 12:00

Muang Thong Utd PPG 1.29

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Pathum Utd PPG 1.50

Away· +37.4% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 24.1%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -49.4%

Draw 30.1%

Odds: 3.35 EV: +0.8%

Away 45.8%

Odds: 3.00 EV: +37.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.8% Odds: 1.77 -20.7%

Over 3.5 23.6% Odds: 2.95 -30.4%

BTTS 50.6% Odds: 1.60 -19.0%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Muang Thong Utd

1.00

Pathum Utd

1.46

Model SuggestionBTTS -19.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -19.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+37.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5/Under 47%

BTTS/No 59%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -38.1%

Bet Hit 38% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away GOOD (1.50)