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Darmstadt B vs Hummetroth Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 26 ·Wednesday, April 29, 2026, 17:00

Darmstadt B

PPG 1.14 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Hummetroth

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-13.6%0-23.2%0-31.9%0-4+1.3%1 1-04.2%1-17.6%1-26.8%1-34.1%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.5%2-18.0%2-27.2%2-34.3%2-4+2.9%3 3-03.2%3-15.7%3-25.1%3-33.1%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-14.9%4+-24.4%4+-32.7%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.8% — — —

Draw 23.0% — — —

Away win 32.3% — — —

Over 2.5 75.0% — — —

Over 3.5 55.1% — — —

BTTS 74.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob74.6%

H 45% / xG 2.1-1.8 / O2.5 75% / BTTS 75%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.6%

#2 2–1 8.0%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 1–2 6.8%

#5 3–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Darmstadt B2.1

Hummetroth1.8

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.0% · O3.5 PROB 55.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DARMSTADT B · PPG 1.14

HUMMETROTH · PPG 1.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.23)

Win probability 1X2

Darmstadt B (H) 44.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hummetroth (A) 32.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Darmstadt B face Hummetroth in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Wednesday, April 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Darmstadt B a 45% chance, the draw 23% and Hummetroth 32%, so Darmstadt B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Darmstadt B and 1.8 for Hummetroth (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 75% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Darmstadt B are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.23 for Hummetroth. This match finished 1-3.

Darmstadt B vs Hummetroth Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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