Today / Germany - Oberliga - Hessen / Eddersheim vs Darmstadt B

Eddersheim vs Darmstadt B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:00

Eddersheim logo
Eddersheim
PPG 2.06 · HOME
3 – 5
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Darmstadt B logo
Darmstadt B
PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-12.5%0-22.0%0-31.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-04.1%1-16.5%1-25.1%1-32.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.3%2-18.3%2-26.5%2-33.4%2-4+1.9%3 3-04.5%3-17.1%3-25.5%3-32.9%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-18.3%4+-26.5%4+-33.4%4+-4+1.9%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 51.4%
Draw 20.7%
Away win 27.8%
Over 2.5 72.7%
Over 3.5 45.5%
BTTS 63.4%
Home O1.5 72.4%
Away O1.5 46.4%

League track record

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5 74%
BTTS 74%
Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 55%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-5
xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.4%

H 51% / xG 2.6-1.6 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.3%
#2 1–1 6.5%
#3 3–1 7.1%
#4 2–2 6.5%
#5 3–2 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eddersheim2.6
Darmstadt B1.6

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 45.5%

Form & verdict PPG

EDDERSHEIM · PPG 2.06

DARMSTADT B · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=51.4%

Win probability 1X2

Eddersheim (H) 51.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Darmstadt B (A) 27.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eddersheim face Darmstadt B in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eddersheim a 51% chance, the draw 21% and Darmstadt B 28%, so Eddersheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Eddersheim and 1.6 for Darmstadt B (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eddersheim are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 1.25 for Darmstadt B. This match finished 3-5.

PredictVantage

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