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Hanau vs Giessen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:00

Hanau

PPG 0.69 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Giessen

PPG 1.41 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.41) vs Home POOR (0.69)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-14.5%0-26.4%0-36.1%0-4+8.8%1 1-02.0%1-15.8%1-28.3%1-37.9%1-4+11.4%2 2-01.3%2-13.8%2-25.4%2-35.1%2-4+7.4%3 3-00.6%3-11.6%3-22.3%3-32.2%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.7%4+-21.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.4% — — —

Draw 20.6% — — —

Away win 66.0% — — —

Over 2.5 70.7% — — —

Over 3.5 45.5% — — —

BTTS 61.3% — — —

Home O1.5 37.2% — — —

Away O1.5 77.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.9 BTTS prob61.3%

A 66% / xG 1.3-2.9 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.3%

#2 1–3 7.9%

#3 1–1 5.8%

#4 0–2 6.4%

#5 0–3 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hanau1.3

Giessen2.9

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.7% · O3.5 PROB 45.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HANAU · PPG 0.69

GIESSEN · PPG 1.41

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.41) vs Home POOR (0.69)

Win probability 1X2

Hanau (H) 13.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Giessen (A) 66.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hanau face Giessen in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hanau a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Giessen 66%, so Giessen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Hanau and 2.9 for Giessen (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hanau are averaging 0.69 points per game versus 1.41 for Giessen. This match finished 3-2.

Hanau vs Giessen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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