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KSV Baunatal vs Stadtallendorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:00

KSV Baunatal

PPG 1.75 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Stadtallendorf

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-16.6%0-25.1%0-32.7%0-4+1.5%1 1-06.8%1-110.6%1-28.2%1-34.3%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.4%2-18.5%2-26.6%2-33.4%2-4+1.9%3 3-02.9%3-14.5%3-23.5%3-31.8%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.6%4+-22.0%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.7% — — —

Draw 23.3% — — —

Away win 37.0% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 40.5% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 47.6% — — —

Away O1.5 46.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.0%

H 40% / xG 1.6-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.6%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 8.2%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 0–0 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KSV Baunatal1.6

Stadtallendorf1.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KSV BAUNATAL · PPG 1.75

STADTALLENDORF · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.88)

Win probability 1X2

KSV Baunatal (H) 39.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stadtallendorf (A) 37.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

KSV Baunatal face Stadtallendorf in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KSV Baunatal a 40% chance, the draw 23% and Stadtallendorf 37%, so KSV Baunatal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for KSV Baunatal and 1.6 for Stadtallendorf (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KSV Baunatal are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.88 for Stadtallendorf. This match finished 1-1.

KSV Baunatal vs Stadtallendorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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