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Eintracht F. B vs Hummetroth Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 33 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 12:00

Eintracht F. B

PPG 3.00 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Hummetroth

PPG 1.18 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-11.1%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-03.6%1-13.8%1-22.0%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-06.4%2-16.8%2-23.6%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.5%3-17.9%3-24.2%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-016.2%4+-117.1%4+-29.1%4+-33.2%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.7% — — —

Draw 20.7% — — —

Away win 8.7% — — —

Over 2.5 71.4% — — —

Over 3.5 67.0% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)3.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.7%

H 71% / xG 3.5-1.1 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1✓ 7.9%

#2 3–0 7.5%

#3 4–1 6.9%

#4 2–1 6.8%

#5 4–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eintracht F. B3.5

Hummetroth1.1

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.4% · O3.5 PROB 67.0%

Form & verdict PPG

EINTRACHT F. B · PPG 3.00

HUMMETROTH · PPG 1.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away AVERAGE (1.18) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Eintracht F. B (H) 70.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hummetroth (A) 8.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eintracht F. B face Hummetroth in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eintracht F. B a 71% chance, the draw 21% and Hummetroth 9%, so Eintracht F. B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Eintracht F. B and 1.1 for Hummetroth (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eintracht F. B are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.18 for Hummetroth. This match finished 3-1.

Eintracht F. B vs Hummetroth Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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