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Hunfelder SV vs Waldgirmes Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:00

Hunfelder SV

PPG 1.25 · HOME

4 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Waldgirmes

PPG 0.81 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.81)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-13.5%0-22.3%0-31.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-06.0%1-18.0%1-25.4%1-32.4%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.9%2-19.3%2-26.2%2-32.8%2-4+1.2%3 3-05.4%3-17.2%3-24.8%3-32.1%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-17.2%4+-24.8%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.8% — — —

Draw 21.3% — — —

Away win 24.9% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 67.3% — — —

Away O1.5 38.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-5

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.4%

H 54% / xG 2.3-1.3 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.3%

#2 1–1 8.0%

#3 3–1 7.2%

#4 2–0 6.9%

#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hunfelder SV2.3

Waldgirmes1.3

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HUNFELDER SV · PPG 1.25

WALDGIRMES · PPG 0.81

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.81)

Win probability 1X2

Hunfelder SV (H) 53.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Waldgirmes (A) 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hunfelder SV face Waldgirmes in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hunfelder SV a 54% chance, the draw 21% and Waldgirmes 25%, so Hunfelder SV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Hunfelder SV and 1.3 for Waldgirmes (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hunfelder SV are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.81 for Waldgirmes. This match finished 4-5.

Hunfelder SV vs Waldgirmes Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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