Peterborough vs Mansfield Prediction— England - League One

England - League One Regular Season - 40 Weston Homes Stadium· Peterborough Tuesday, April 28, 2026 18:45

Peterborough PPG 1.38

0-0 HIT CS5

Mansfield PPG 1.32

Draw· +7.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Peterborough face Mansfield in England - League One on Tuesday, April 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Peterborough a 29% chance, the draw 30% and Mansfield 42%, so Mansfield are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Peterborough and 1.6 for Mansfield (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Peterborough are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.32 for Mansfield. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +7.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.8%

Odds: 2.52 EV: -27.4%

Draw 29.8%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +7.3%

Away 41.5%

Odds: 2.52 EV: +4.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.3% Odds: 1.62 -16.9%

Over 3.5 27.8% Odds: 2.55 -29.1%

BTTS 57.8% Odds: 1.48 -14.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Peterborough

1.08

Mansfield

1.59

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+7.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -55.8%

Bet Hit 26% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.32)