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Teutonia O. vs Suderelbe Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 27 ·Tuesday, April 28, 2026, 17:45

Teutonia O.

PPG 1.71 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Suderelbe

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-15.4%0-25.3%0-33.4%0-4+2.6%1 1-04.5%1-18.8%1-28.6%1-35.6%1-4+4.3%2 2-03.7%2-17.2%2-27.0%2-34.6%2-4+3.5%3 3-02.0%3-13.9%3-23.8%3-32.5%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.3%4+-22.3%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.3% — — —

Draw 28.2% — — —

Away win 37.5% — — —

Over 2.5 60.5% — — —

Over 3.5 48.2% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob58.5%

D 28% / xG 1.6-2.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 1–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Teutonia O.1.6

Suderelbe2.0

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%

Form & verdict PPG

TEUTONIA O. · PPG 1.71

SUDERELBE · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Teutonia O. (H) 34.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Suderelbe (A) 37.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Teutonia O. face Suderelbe in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Tuesday, April 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Teutonia O. a 34% chance, the draw 28% and Suderelbe 38%, so Suderelbe are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Teutonia O. and 2.0 for Suderelbe (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Teutonia O. are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.14 for Suderelbe. This match finished 0-2.

Teutonia O. vs Suderelbe Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

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