East Bengal vs Odisha FC Prediction— India - Indian Super League

India - Indian Super League Regular Season - 11 Salt Lake Stadium· Kolkata Tuesday, April 28, 2026 14:00

East Bengal PPG 1.71

3-0 HIT CS2

Odisha FC PPG 0.60

Over3.5· +42.8% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

East Bengal face Odisha FC in India - Indian Super League on Tuesday, April 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives East Bengal a 76% chance, the draw 17% and Odisha FC 7%, so East Bengal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.3 for East Bengal and 0.8 for Odisha FC (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, East Bengal are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.60 for Odisha FC. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +42.8%. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 75.7%

Odds: 1.25 EV: -5.4%

Draw 17.3%

Odds: 5.10 EV: -11.8%

Away 7.0%

Odds: 9.00 EV: -37.0%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 79.5% Odds: 1.38 +9.7%

Over 3.5 74.0% Odds: 1.93 +42.8%

BTTS 57.8% Odds: 1.62 -6.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 4-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✔

3rd 5-0 ✘

4th 4-1 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

East Bengal

4.25

Odisha FC

0.79

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +9.7% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+42.8%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.71), Away POOR (0.60) - Strong consensus