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Portugal - Segunda Liga logo Portugal flag Portugal - Segunda Liga Regular Season - 31 Estadio Municipal de Chaves· Chaves Monday, April 27, 2026 17:00
Chaves logo Chaves PPG 1.33
2-1 HIT CS5
Oliveirense logo Oliveirense PPG 0.60
Draw· +14.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.8%
Odds: 1.60 EV: -25.1%
Draw 31.4%
Odds: 3.65 EV: +14.6%
Away 21.8%
Odds: 5.25 EV: +14.4%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.4% Odds: 1.90 -15.6%
Over 3.5 15.3% Odds: 3.10 -52.6%
BTTS 49.5% Odds: 1.80 -10.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Chaves
1.40
Oliveirense
0.65

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5/Under 45%
BTTS/No 38%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -45.7%
Bet Hit 30% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.60)

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