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Portugal - Segunda Liga
Regular Season - 31
Estadio Municipal de Chaves· Chaves
Monday, April 27, 2026
17:00
Chaves
PPG 1.33
2-1
HIT CS5
Oliveirense
PPG 0.60
Draw· +14.6%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
46.8%
Odds: 1.60
EV: -25.1%
Draw
31.4%
Odds: 3.65
EV: +14.6%
Away
21.8%
Odds: 5.25
EV: +14.4%
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
44.4%
Odds: 1.90
-15.6%
Over 3.5
15.3%
Odds: 3.10
-52.6%
BTTS
49.5%
Odds: 1.80
-10.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Chaves
1.40
Oliveirense
0.65
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 42 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
48%
O2.5/Under
45%
BTTS/No
38%
Score Hit
41%
ROI
-45.7%
Bet Hit
30%
(10 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.60)