Pyramids FC vs Al Ahly Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Egypt - Premier League Championship Group - 4 30 June Stadium· Cairo Monday, April 27, 2026 17:00

Pyramids FC PPG 2.09

3-0 MISS

Al Ahly PPG 1.64

Home· +33.2% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Pyramids FC face Al Ahly in Egypt - Premier League on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pyramids FC a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Al Ahly 22%, so Pyramids FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Pyramids FC and 0.8 for Al Ahly (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pyramids FC are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 1.64 for Al Ahly. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +33.2%. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.7%

Odds: 2.68 EV: +33.2%

Draw 28.5%

Odds: 2.98 EV: -15.1%

Away 21.8%

Odds: 2.64 EV: -42.4%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.6% Odds: 2.20 +11.3%

Over 3.5 27.2% Odds: 4.00 +8.8%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.80 -5.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Pyramids FC

1.84

Al Ahly

0.80

Model SuggestionBTTS -5.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.09) > Away GOOD (1.64)