Today / Egypt - Premier League / Pyramids FC vs Al Ahly

Pyramids FC vs Al Ahly Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Championship Group - 4 ·Monday, April 27, 2026, 17:00

Pyramids FC

PPG 2.09 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Al Ahly

PPG 1.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-15.7%0-22.3%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-013.1%1-110.5%1-24.2%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-012.1%2-19.7%2-23.9%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.4%3-15.9%3-22.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-05.1%4+-14.1%4+-21.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.7% 37.3% 2.68 +33.2%

Draw 28.5% 33.6% 2.98 -15.1%

Away win 21.8% 37.9% 2.64 -42.4%

Over 2.5 50.6% 45.5% 2.20 +11.3%

Over 3.5 27.2% 25.0% 4.00 +8.8%

BTTS 52.6% 55.6% 1.80 -5.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 50% / xG 1.8-0.8 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–0 12.1%

#3 1–0 13.1%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pyramids FC1.8

Al Ahly0.8

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.6% · O3.5 PROB 27.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PYRAMIDS FC · PPG 2.09

AL AHLY · PPG 1.64

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.09) > Away GOOD (1.64)

Win probability 1X2

Pyramids FC (H) 49.7%

ODDS 2.68 · IMPLIED 37.3% EV +33.2%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 2.98 · IMPLIED 33.6% EV -15.1%

Al Ahly (A) 21.8%

ODDS 2.64 · IMPLIED 37.9% EV -42.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pyramids FC face Al Ahly in Egypt - Premier League on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pyramids FC a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Al Ahly 22%, so Pyramids FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Pyramids FC and 0.8 for Al Ahly (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pyramids FC are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 1.64 for Al Ahly. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +33.2%. This match finished 3-0.

Pyramids FC vs Al Ahly Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Egypt - Premier League Predictions