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Flamurtari vs Dinamo Tirana Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Regular Season - 33 ·Monday, April 27, 2026, 17:00

Flamurtari

PPG 0.94 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

Dinamo Tirana

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.4%0-113.5%0-26.4%0-32.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.4%1-113.5%1-26.4%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.2%2-16.7%2-23.2%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.4%3-12.2%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.6% 39.2% 2.55 -4.1%

Draw 32.8% 34.5% 2.90 -4.9%

Away win 29.6% 38.5% 2.60 -23.0%

Over 2.5 38.0% 40.0% 2.50 -5.0%

Over 3.5 13.2% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -61.7%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.5%

D 33% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.4%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 1–0 14.4%

#4 0–1 13.5%

#5 2–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flamurtari1.0

Dinamo Tirana0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.0% · O3.5 PROB 13.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FLAMURTARI · PPG 0.94

DINAMO TIRANA · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.94) vs Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Flamurtari (H) 37.6%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -4.1%

Draw 32.8%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -4.9%

Dinamo Tirana (A) 29.6%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -23.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Flamurtari face Dinamo Tirana in Albania - Superliga on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flamurtari a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Dinamo Tirana 30%, so Flamurtari are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Flamurtari and 0.9 for Dinamo Tirana (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flamurtari are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 1.31 for Dinamo Tirana. This match finished 3-1.

Flamurtari vs Dinamo Tirana Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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