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Flamurtari vs Dinamo Tirana Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Albania - Superliga logo Albania flag Albania - Superliga Regular Season - 33 Stadiumi Flamurtari Monday, April 27, 2026 17:00
Flamurtari logo Flamurtari PPG 0.94
3-1 MISS
Dinamo Tirana logo Dinamo Tirana PPG 1.31
Home· -4.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Flamurtari face Dinamo Tirana in Albania - Superliga on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flamurtari a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Dinamo Tirana 30%, so Flamurtari are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Flamurtari and 0.9 for Dinamo Tirana (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flamurtari are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 1.31 for Dinamo Tirana. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.6%
Odds: 2.55 EV: -4.1%
Draw 32.8%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -4.9%
Away 29.6%
Odds: 2.60 EV: -23.0%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.0% Odds: 2.50 -5.0%
Over 3.5 13.2% Odds: —
BTTS 49.5% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Flamurtari
1.00
Dinamo Tirana
0.94

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.94) vs Away AVERAGE (1.31)

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