AF Elbasani PPG 2.06
Vllaznia S. PPG 1.19AF Elbasani face Vllaznia S. in Albania - Superliga on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AF Elbasani a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Vllaznia S. 24%, so AF Elbasani are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for AF Elbasani and 0.6 for Vllaznia S. (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AF Elbasani are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 1.19 for Vllaznia S.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +18.7%. This match finished 3-1.
Based on 25 resolved predictions
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=45.3%