Today / Radnicki 1923 vs S. Subotica

Radnicki 1923 vs S. Subotica Prediction

Monday, April 27, 2026

Radnicki 1923

PPG 1.38 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

S. Subotica

PPG 0.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away POOR (0.69)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-16.4%0-22.8%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.9%1-111.1%1-24.8%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.2%2-19.7%2-24.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.5%3-15.6%3-22.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-13.6%4+-21.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.0% — — —

Draw 28.7% — — —

Away win 24.3% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 26.3% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 47% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 1–0 12.9%

#3 2–0 11.2%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Radnicki 19231.7

S. Subotica0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 26.3%

Form & verdict PPG

RADNICKI 1923 · PPG 1.38

S. SUBOTICA · PPG 0.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away POOR (0.69)

Win probability 1X2

Radnicki 1923 (H) 47.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

S. Subotica (A) 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Radnicki 1923 face S. Subotica on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radnicki 1923 a 47% chance, the draw 29% and S. Subotica 24%, so Radnicki 1923 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Radnicki 1923 and 0.9 for S. Subotica (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radnicki 1923 are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 0.69 for S. Subotica. This match finished 4-0.

Radnicki 1923 vs S. Subotica Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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