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Al Ramtha vs Sama Al Sarhan Prediction— Iraq - Iraqi League

Iraq - Iraqi League logo Iraq flag Iraq - Iraqi League Regular Season - 31 Monday, April 27, 2026 14:00
Al Ramtha logo Al Ramtha PPG 1.67
1-3 MISS
Sama Al Sarhan logo Sama Al Sarhan PPG 0.27
Home· +68.3% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Ramtha face Sama Al Sarhan in Iraq - Iraqi League on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Ramtha a 66% chance, the draw 24% and Sama Al Sarhan 10%, so Al Ramtha are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Al Ramtha and 0.4 for Sama Al Sarhan (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Ramtha are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.27 for Sama Al Sarhan. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +68.3%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 66.0%
Odds: 2.55 EV: +68.3%
Draw 24.4%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -26.8%
Away 9.6%
Odds: 2.55 EV: -75.5%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 2.35 +17.5%
Over 3.5 24.6% Odds: —
BTTS 39.6% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 3-0
4th 0-0
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Ramtha
2.11
Sama Al Sarhan
0.41

Model Suggestion

Home +68.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.67), Away POOR (0.27) - Strong consensus

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