Egypt - Premier LeagueChampionship Group - 4Cairo International Stadium· CairoMonday, April 27, 202614:00
ZamalekPPG 2.45
0-0HIT CS3
ENPPIPPG 1.33
Over2.5· +2.1%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home57.4%
Odds: 1.68EV: -3.6%
Draw28.1%
Odds: 3.25EV: -8.7%
Away14.5%
Odds: 5.30EV: -23.2%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.544.4%Odds: 2.30+2.1%
Over 3.516.6%Odds: 4.20-30.3%
BTTS39.6%Odds: 2.10-16.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st1-0✘
2nd2-0✘
3rd0-0✔
4th3-0✘
5th1-1✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Zamalek
1.70
ENPPI
0.42
Model Suggestion
Home-3.6%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -3.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+2.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.45) vs P(Home)=57.4%