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Zamalek vs ENPPI Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Championship Group · Matchday 4 ·Monday, April 27, 2026, 14:00

Zamalek

PPG 2.45 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLWW

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

ENPPI

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDDLL

// Model verdict

Home 59% chance

Model probability 57.4% vs bookmaker-implied 59.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-15.0%0-21.1%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-020.4%1-18.6%1-21.8%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.4%2-17.3%2-21.5%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-09.9%3-14.1%3-20.9%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-06.1%4+-12.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.4% 59.5% 1.68 -3.6%

Draw 28.1% 30.8% 3.25 -8.7%

Away win 14.5% 18.9% 5.30 -23.2%

Over 2.5 44.4% 43.5% 2.30 +2.1%

Over 3.5 16.6% 23.8% 4.20 -30.3%

BTTS 39.6% 47.6% 2.10 -16.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -0.5%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob39.6%

H 57% / xG 1.7-0.4 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 20.4%

#2 2–0 17.4%

#3 0–0✓ 12.0%

#4 3–0 9.9%

#5 1–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zamalek1.7

ENPPI0.4

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 16.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ZAMALEK · PPG 2.45

ENPPI · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

59%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.45) vs P(Home)=57.4%

Win probability 1X2

Zamalek (H) 57.4%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -3.6%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -8.7%

ENPPI (A) 14.5%

ODDS 5.30 · IMPLIED 18.9% EV -23.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zamalek face ENPPI in Egypt - Premier League on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zamalek a 57% chance, the draw 28% and ENPPI 14%, so Zamalek are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Zamalek and 0.4 for ENPPI (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zamalek are averaging 2.45 points per game versus 1.33 for ENPPI. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +2.1%. This match finished 0-0.

Zamalek vs ENPPI Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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