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Zorya Luhansk vs Veres Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 25 ·Monday, April 27, 2026, 12:30

Zorya Luhansk

PPG 1.58 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWDW

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Veres

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDLLL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.7%0-19.0%0-23.8%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.9%1-112.6%1-25.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.3%2-18.7%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.8%3-14.0%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-11.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% 52.6% 1.90 -14.5%

Draw 30.2% 30.8% 3.25 -1.8%

Away win 24.7% 26.7% 3.75 -7.4%

Over 2.5 44.4% 48.8% 2.05 -9.0%

Over 3.5 18.8% 27.8% 3.60 -32.3%

BTTS 49.9% 55.6% 1.80 -10.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 78 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 51%

ROI 13.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.9%

H 45% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 14.9%

#3 0–0 10.7%

#4 2–0✓ 10.3%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zorya Luhansk1.4

Veres0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 18.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ZORYA LUHANSK · PPG 1.58

VERES · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

50%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.58) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

Zorya Luhansk (H) 45.0%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -14.5%

Draw 30.2%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -1.8%

Veres (A) 24.7%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -7.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zorya Luhansk face Veres in Ukraine - Premier League on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zorya Luhansk a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Veres 25%, so Zorya Luhansk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Zorya Luhansk and 0.8 for Veres (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zorya Luhansk are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.17 for Veres. This match finished 2-0.

Zorya Luhansk vs Veres Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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