Episentr vs Oleksandria Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 25 Ternopilsky Misky Stadion· Ternopil Monday, April 27, 2026 10:00

Episentr PPG 0.92

1-1 HIT CS2

Oleksandria PPG 0.42

Over2.5· +6.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Episentr face Oleksandria in Ukraine - Premier League on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Episentr a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Oleksandria 22%, so Episentr are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Episentr and 0.8 for Oleksandria (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Episentr are averaging 0.92 points per game versus 0.42 for Oleksandria. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +6.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.7%

Odds: 2.05 EV: +1.9%

Draw 28.5%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -8.8%

Away 21.8%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -28.1%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.7% Odds: 2.10 +6.5%

Over 3.5 27.4% Odds: 3.85 +5.5%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.83 -3.7%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✔

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Episentr

1.85

Oleksandria

0.79

Model SuggestionBTTS -3.7% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 
Raw EV leader: Over2.5(+6.5%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 63%

BTTS/No 68%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 57% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.92) > Away POOR (0.42)