Today / AAli FC vs Sitra

AAli FC vs Sitra Prediction

Monday, April 27, 2026

AAli FC

PPG 1.22 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Sitra

PPG 0.89 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-18.2%0-22.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.8%1-111.4%1-23.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.2%2-18.0%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.1%3-13.7%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-11.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.8% — — —

Draw 31.4% — — —

Away win 21.8% — — —

Over 2.5 40.7% — — —

Over 3.5 14.3% — — —

BTTS 48.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.3%

H 47% / xG 1.4-0.6 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.8%

#2 0–0 13.5%

#3 2–0 13.2%

#4 1–1 11.4%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

AAli FC1.4

Sitra0.6

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.7% · O3.5 PROB 14.3%

Form & verdict PPG

AALI FC · PPG 1.22

SITRA · PPG 0.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.22) > Away POOR (0.89)

Win probability 1X2

AAli FC (H) 46.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sitra (A) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

AAli FC face Sitra on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AAli FC a 47% chance, the draw 31% and Sitra 22%, so AAli FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for AAli FC and 0.6 for Sitra (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AAli FC are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 0.89 for Sitra. This match finished 0-2.

AAli FC vs Sitra Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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