Qatar SC vs Al Duhail Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Qatar - Stars League Regular Season - 22 Qatar SC Stadium· Doha Monday, April 27, 2026 14:15

Qatar SC PPG 1.70

1-2 HIT CS2

Al Duhail PPG 1.40

Draw· -7.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Qatar SC face Al Duhail in Qatar - Stars League on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Qatar SC a 26% chance, the draw 26% and Al Duhail 48%, so Al Duhail are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Qatar SC and 2.1 for Al Duhail (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Qatar SC are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.40 for Al Duhail. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 25.5%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -10.8%

Draw 26.4%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -7.6%

Away 48.1%

Odds: 1.83 EV: -12.0%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 41.3% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.57 -8.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✔

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 1-3 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Qatar SC

1.13

Al Duhail

2.14

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is — at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

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Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.70) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)