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Qatar SC vs Al Duhail Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Regular Season - 22 ·Monday, April 27, 2026, 14:15

Qatar SC

PPG 1.70 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Al Duhail

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-18.1%0-28.7%0-36.2%0-4+5.4%1 1-04.3%1-19.2%1-29.8%1-37.0%1-4+6.1%2 2-02.4%2-15.2%2-25.6%2-34.0%2-4+3.5%3 3-00.9%3-12.0%3-22.1%3-31.5%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.7%4+-20.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.5% 28.6% 3.50 -10.8%

Draw 26.4% 28.6% 3.50 -7.6%

Away win 48.1% 54.6% 1.83 -12.0%

Over 2.5 59.0% — — —

Over 3.5 41.3% — — —

BTTS 58.5% 63.7% 1.57 -8.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 83%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 83%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob58.5%

A 48% / xG 1.1-2.1 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 1–2✓ 9.8%

#3 0–2 8.7%

#4 1–3 7.0%

#5 0–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Qatar SC1.1

Al Duhail2.1

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 41.3%

Form & verdict PPG

QATAR SC · PPG 1.70

AL DUHAIL · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.70) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Qatar SC (H) 25.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -10.8%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -7.6%

Al Duhail (A) 48.1%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -12.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Qatar SC face Al Duhail in Qatar - Stars League on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Qatar SC a 26% chance, the draw 26% and Al Duhail 48%, so Al Duhail are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Qatar SC and 2.1 for Al Duhail (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Qatar SC are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.40 for Al Duhail. This match finished 1-2.

Qatar SC vs Al Duhail Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Qatar - Stars League Predictions