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Al Shahaniya vs Al-Sailiya Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 16:30

Al Shahaniya

PPG 1.39 · HOME

LAST 5

LW ···

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Al-Sailiya

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

LAST 5

LL ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.5% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-16.6%0-24.7%0-32.2%0-4+1.1%1 1-07.6%1-110.9%1-27.7%1-33.7%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.3%2-19.0%2-26.4%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.5%3-14.9%3-23.5%3-31.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.9%4+-22.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.6% 45.0% 2.22 -3.2%

Draw 27.0% 29.4% 3.40 -4.9%

Away win 29.4% 34.5% 2.90 -8.8%

Over 2.5 53.5% 56.5% 1.77 -5.3%

Over 3.5 33.9% 33.9% 2.95 +0.0%

BTTS 54.5% 62.5% 1.60 -12.8%

Home O1.5 48.9% 48.8% 2.05 +0.2%

Away O1.5 40.9% 40.8% 2.45 +0.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 88%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.5%

H 44% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.7%

#4 2–0 6.3%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Shahaniya1.6

Al-Sailiya1.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 33.9%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SHAHANIYA · PPG 1.39

AL-SAILIYA · PPG 0.88

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.22 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al Shahaniya (H) 43.6%

ODDS 2.22 · IMPLIED 45.0% EV -3.2%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -4.9%

Al-Sailiya (A) 29.4%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -8.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Shahaniya face Al-Sailiya in Qatar - Stars League on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Shahaniya a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Al-Sailiya 29%, so Al Shahaniya are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Al Shahaniya and 1.4 for Al-Sailiya (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Shahaniya are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 0.88 for Al-Sailiya. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +6.4%. This match finished 3-2.

Al Shahaniya vs Al-Sailiya Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Match Preview & Prediction

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