Today / Qatar - Stars League / Al-Sailiya vs Al-Arabi SC

Al-Sailiya vs Al-Arabi SC Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Matchday 3 ·Thursday, September 3, 2026, 16:15

Al-Sailiya

PPG 1.29 · HOME

LAST 5

LL ···

UPCOMING

Al-Arabi SC

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

LAST 5

DD ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-16.0%0-25.2%0-33.0%0-4+1.9%1 1-05.7%1-19.8%1-28.5%1-34.8%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.7%2-18.0%2-26.9%2-33.9%2-4+2.5%3 3-02.5%3-14.4%3-23.7%3-32.1%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.6%4+-22.2%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.4% 18.2% 5.50 +94.7%

Draw 23.5% 23.3% 4.30 +0.6%

Away win 41.1% 67.6% 1.48 -39.2%

Over 2.5 61.2% 69.0% 1.45 -11.3%

Over 3.5 40.2% 46.5% 2.15 -13.6%

BTTS 61.5% 65.4% 1.53 -5.9%

Home O1.5 48.1% 33.3% 3.00 +44.3%

Away O1.5 47.9% 70.4% 1.42 -32.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 88%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob61.5%

A 41% / xG 1.6-1.7 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 0–2 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al-Sailiya1.6

Al-Arabi SC1.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

AL-SAILIYA · PPG 1.29

AL-ARABI SC · PPG 1.44

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.09 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al-Sailiya (H) 35.4%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +94.7%

Draw 23.5%

ODDS 4.30 · IMPLIED 23.3% EV +0.6%

Al-Arabi SC (A) 41.1%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -39.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al-Sailiya face Al-Arabi SC in Qatar - Stars League on Thursday, September 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al-Sailiya a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Al-Arabi SC 41%, so Al-Arabi SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Al-Sailiya and 1.7 for Al-Arabi SC (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al-Sailiya are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.44 for Al-Arabi SC. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +100.6%.

Al-Sailiya vs Al-Arabi SC Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Qatar - Stars League Predictions