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Al-Duhail SC vs Al-Sailiya Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:15

Al-Duhail SC

PPG 1.47 · HOME

LAST 5

WD ···

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Al-Sailiya

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

LAST 5

LL ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.2% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-16.2%0-23.5%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-09.6%1-111.0%1-26.2%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.6%2-19.7%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.1%3-15.8%3-23.3%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-13.8%4+-22.2%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.9% 71.4% 1.40 -27.3%

Draw 23.8% 21.7% 4.60 +5.7%

Away win 24.3% 16.1% 6.20 +30.4%

Over 2.5 59.7% 66.7% 1.50 -10.4%

Over 3.5 36.6% 45.5% 2.20 -19.5%

BTTS 55.2% 61.7% 1.62 -10.6%

Home O1.5 48.8% 71.4% 1.40 -31.7%

Away O1.5 35.6% 28.6% 3.50 +24.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 88%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.2%

H 52% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0✓ 8.6%

#4 1–0 9.6%

#5 1–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al-Duhail SC1.8

Al-Sailiya1.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL-DUHAIL SC · PPG 1.47

AL-SAILIYA · PPG 1.06

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.64 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Al-Duhail SC (H) 51.9%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -27.3%

Draw 23.8%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +5.7%

Al-Sailiya (A) 24.3%

ODDS 6.20 · IMPLIED 16.1% EV +30.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al-Duhail SC face Al-Sailiya in Qatar - Stars League on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al-Duhail SC a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Al-Sailiya 24%, so Al-Duhail SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Al-Duhail SC and 1.1 for Al-Sailiya (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al-Duhail SC are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.06 for Al-Sailiya. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +41.0%. This match finished 2-0.

Al-Duhail SC vs Al-Sailiya Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Match Preview & Prediction

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