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Al Wakrah vs Al-Rayyan SC Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Matchday 2 ·Thursday, August 27, 2026, 16:30

Al Wakrah

PPG 1.39 · HOME

LAST 5

DL ···

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Al-Rayyan SC

PPG 1.59 · AWAY

LAST 5

WW ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 56.0% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-16.5%0-25.7%0-33.3%0-4+2.1%1 1-05.8%1-110.1%1-28.8%1-35.1%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.4%2-17.8%2-26.8%2-33.9%2-4+2.5%3 3-02.3%3-14.0%3-23.5%3-32.0%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.2%4+-21.9%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.8% 30.3% 3.30 +14.8%

Draw 26.2% 27.4% 3.65 -2.6%

Away win 39.0% 51.5% 1.94 -24.3%

Over 2.5 59.4% 65.4% 1.53 -9.1%

Over 3.5 36.7% 43.5% 2.30 -15.6%

BTTS 56.0% 69.0% 1.45 -18.8%

Home O1.5 43.2% 43.5% 2.30 -0.6%

Away O1.5 47.9% 58.8% 1.70 -18.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 88%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob56.0%

A 39% / xG 1.5-1.7 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 1–2✓ 8.8%

#3 2–1 7.8%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Wakrah1.5

Al-Rayyan SC1.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AL WAKRAH · PPG 1.39

AL-RAYYAN SC · PPG 1.59

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al Wakrah (H) 34.8%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +14.8%

Draw 26.2%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -2.6%

Al-Rayyan SC (A) 39.0%

ODDS 1.94 · IMPLIED 51.5% EV -24.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Wakrah face Al-Rayyan SC in Qatar - Stars League on Thursday, August 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Wakrah a 35% chance, the draw 26% and Al-Rayyan SC 39%, so Al-Rayyan SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Al Wakrah and 1.7 for Al-Rayyan SC (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Wakrah are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 1.59 for Al-Rayyan SC. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +5.3%. This match finished 1-2.

Al Wakrah vs Al-Rayyan SC Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Match Preview & Prediction

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