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Al-Rayyan SC vs Al-Duhail SC Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:00

Al-Rayyan SC

PPG 1.92 · HOME

LAST 5

WW ···

UPCOMING

Al-Duhail SC

PPG 1.53 · AWAY

LAST 5

WD ···

// Model verdict

BTTS 63% chance

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-16.7%0-24.9%0-32.4%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.3%1-110.8%1-28.0%1-34.0%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.9%2-18.7%2-26.5%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.2%3-14.7%3-23.5%3-31.7%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.7%4+-22.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.9% 41.7% 2.40 -4.2%

Draw 24.8% 31.3% 3.20 -12.4%

Away win 35.3% 38.5% 2.60 -8.2%

Over 2.5 53.8% 62.5% 1.60 -13.9%

Over 3.5 35.9% 42.0% 2.38 -14.6%

BTTS 55.9% 66.7% 1.50 -16.2%

Home O1.5 48.1% 50.0% 2.00 -3.8%

Away O1.5 42.2% 47.6% 2.10 -11.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.9%

H 40% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 2–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al-Rayyan SC1.6

Al-Duhail SC1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 35.9%

Form & verdict PPG

AL-RAYYAN SC · PPG 1.92

AL-DUHAIL SC · PPG 1.53

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

63%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al-Rayyan SC (H) 39.9%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -4.2%

Draw 24.8%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -12.4%

Al-Duhail SC (A) 35.3%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -8.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al-Rayyan SC face Al-Duhail SC in Qatar - Stars League on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al-Rayyan SC a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Al-Duhail SC 35%, so Al-Rayyan SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Al-Rayyan SC and 1.5 for Al-Duhail SC (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al-Rayyan SC are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.53 for Al-Duhail SC. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +3.0%.

Al-Rayyan SC vs Al-Duhail SC Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Match Preview & Prediction

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