Al Wakrah vs Al Sailiya Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Qatar - Stars League Regular Season - 22 Al Janoub Stadium· Al Wakrah Monday, April 27, 2026 14:15

Al Wakrah PPG 1.30

3-1 MISS

Al Sailiya PPG 0.90

Draw· +4.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Wakrah face Al Sailiya in Qatar - Stars League on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Wakrah a 39% chance, the draw 31% and Al Sailiya 30%, so Al Wakrah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Al Wakrah and 1.3 for Al Sailiya (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Wakrah are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 0.90 for Al Sailiya. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +4.4%. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.0%

Odds: 2.18 EV: -15.0%

Draw 30.7%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +4.4%

Away 30.4%

Odds: 2.94 EV: -10.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.62 -4.4%

Over 3.5 33.0% Odds: 2.55 -15.8%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.50 -12.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Wakrah

1.55

Al Sailiya

1.35

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -4.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -4.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+4.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.30) > Away POOR (0.90)