Al Rayyan vs Al Arabi Prediction— Qatar - Stars League

Qatar - Stars League Regular Season - 22 Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium· Doha Monday, April 27, 2026 14:15

Al Rayyan PPG 1.70

4-0 MISS

Al Arabi PPG 1.70

Draw· +16.9% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Rayyan face Al Arabi in Qatar - Stars League on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Rayyan a 38% chance, the draw 30% and Al Arabi 33%, so Al Rayyan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Al Rayyan and 2.0 for Al Arabi (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Rayyan are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.70 for Al Arabi. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +16.9%. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.6%

Odds: 1.82 EV: -31.6%

Draw 29.6%

Odds: 3.95 EV: +16.9%

Away 32.9%

Odds: 3.50 EV: +15.2%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.1% Odds: 1.36 -16.9%

Over 3.5 56.1% Odds: 1.90 +6.6%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.33 -22.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Rayyan

1.96

Al Arabi

2.02

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -16.9% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-16.9%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 83%

O2.5/Under 83%

BTTS/No 83%

Score Hit 50%

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.70), Away GOOD (1.70)