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Macedonia - First League logo Macedonia flag Macedonia - First League Regular Season - 29 Monday, April 27, 2026 14:00
Shkendija logo Shkendija PPG 2.29
2-3 MISS
Bashkimi logo Bashkimi PPG 1.15
Away· +61.5% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 68.1%
Odds: 1.13 EV: -23.1%
Draw 22.3%
Odds: 5.50 EV: +22.7%
Away 9.5%
Odds: 17.00 EV: +61.5%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: —
Over 3.5 42.0% Odds: 2.20 -7.6%
BTTS 49.5% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 1-0
4th 4-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Shkendija
2.70
Bashkimi
0.60

Model Suggestion

Home -23.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -23.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+61.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 32%
ROI -30.6%
Bet Hit 38% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.29), Away AVERAGE (1.15) - Strong consensus

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