Celta Vigo B vs Cacereno Prediction & Tips

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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 33 Municipal de Barreiro· Vigo Friday, April 17, 2026 17:00

Celta Vigo B PPG 1.94

3-0 HIT CS5

Cacereno PPG 1.06

Away· +18.5% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.0%

Odds: 1.77 EV: -18.6%

Draw 25.1%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -14.7%

Away 28.9%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +18.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.7% Odds: 1.93 -0.2%

Over 3.5 29.6% Odds: 3.30 -2.3%

BTTS 54.8% Odds: 1.80 -1.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Celta Vigo B

1.56

Cacereno

1.19

Model SuggestionBTTS -1.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -1.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+18.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.94) vs P(Home)=46.0%