Today / Llaneros vs A. Petrolera

Llaneros vs A. Petrolera Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Llaneros

PPG 1.13 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

A. Petrolera

PPG 0.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.13) > Away POOR (0.56)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-14.0%0-20.9%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-017.9%1-17.9%1-21.7%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.4%2-17.7%2-21.7%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-011.3%3-15.0%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-08.6%4+-13.8%4+-20.8%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.0% — — —

Draw 26.0% — — —

Away win 11.0% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 21.8% — — —

BTTS 39.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob39.6%

H 63% / xG 1.9-0.4 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 17.4%

#2 1–0 17.9%

#3 3–0 11.3%

#4 0–0✓ 9.2%

#5 1–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Llaneros1.9

A. Petrolera0.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 21.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LLANEROS · PPG 1.13

A. PETROLERA · PPG 0.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.13) > Away POOR (0.56)

Win probability 1X2

Llaneros (H) 63.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

A. Petrolera (A) 11.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Llaneros face A. Petrolera on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Llaneros a 63% chance, the draw 26% and A. Petrolera 11%, so Llaneros are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Llaneros and 0.4 for A. Petrolera (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Llaneros are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 0.56 for A. Petrolera. This match finished 0-0.

Llaneros vs A. Petrolera Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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