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Omiya Ardija W vs Urawa RD W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Regular Season - 19 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 04:00

Omiya Ardija W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Urawa RD W

PPG 2.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.11) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-113.1%0-214.1%0-310.2%0-4+9.1%1 1-03.9%1-18.4%1-29.1%1-36.6%1-4+5.9%2 2-01.2%2-12.7%2-22.9%2-32.1%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.3%3-10.6%3-20.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.5% — — —

Draw 24.2% — — —

Away win 61.3% — — —

Over 2.5 53.3% — — —

Over 3.5 31.0% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob49.5%

A 61% / xG 0.6-2.2 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 14.1%

#2 0–1 13.1%

#3 0–3 10.2%

#4 1–1 8.4%

#5 1–2 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Omiya Ardija W0.6

Urawa RD W2.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.3% · O3.5 PROB 31.0%

Form & verdict PPG

OMIYA ARDIJA W · PPG 1.00

URAWA RD W · PPG 2.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.11) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Omiya Ardija W (H) 14.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Urawa RD W (A) 61.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Omiya Ardija W face Urawa RD W in Japan - WE League on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Omiya Ardija W a 14% chance, the draw 24% and Urawa RD W 61%, so Urawa RD W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Omiya Ardija W and 2.2 for Urawa RD W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Omiya Ardija W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.11 for Urawa RD W. This match finished 2-0.

Omiya Ardija W vs Urawa RD W Prediction— Japan - WE League

Match Preview & Prediction

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