← Back to picks 
Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Sunday, April 26, 2026 04:00 
Western Utd B PPG 1.20 
Melbourne K. PPG 1.50
Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Sunday, April 26, 2026 04:00 Western Utd B PPG 1.203-2 MISS
Melbourne K. PPG 1.50Draw· +0.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.7% Odds: 1.36 -18.8%
Over 3.5 43.5% Odds: — —
BTTS 52.6% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 0-2 ✘
2nd 0-3 ✘
3rd 1-2 ✘
4th 0-1 ✘
5th 1-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Western Utd B 0.74
Melbourne K. 2.63
Model Suggestion
Away -3.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -3.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+0.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+0.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 49 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 59%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 61%
Score Hit 43%
ROI -40.0%
Bet Hit 43% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
DANGER 45%
Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.20) vs Away GOOD (1.50)