Today / San Carlos vs Zeledon

San Carlos vs Zeledon Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

San Carlos

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Zeledon

PPG 0.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=59.2%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-13.3%0-21.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.7%1-17.9%1-23.2%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.6%2-19.4%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.3%3-17.5%3-23.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-09.7%4+-17.9%4+-23.2%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.2% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 16.4% — — —

Over 2.5 59.0% — — —

Over 3.5 39.7% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 59% / xG 2.4-0.8 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.6%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 3–0 9.3%

#4 1–1 7.9%

#5 1–0 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Carlos2.4

Zeledon0.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN CARLOS · PPG 2.00

ZELEDON · PPG 0.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=59.2%

Win probability 1X2

San Carlos (H) 59.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zeledon (A) 16.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

San Carlos face Zeledon on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Carlos a 59% chance, the draw 24% and Zeledon 16%, so San Carlos are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for San Carlos and 0.8 for Zeledon (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Carlos are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.13 for Zeledon. This match finished 0-4.

San Carlos vs Zeledon Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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